The tone in risk markets remained positive overnight, with some headlines suggesting progress in China/U.S. trade negotiations. Treasury prices are little changed at the moment, and credit spreads are slightly tighter. While a Wall Street Journal is reporting that the White House is considering a new trade complaint against China (technology related), equity investors are responding favorably to a separate announcement from Chinese officials that the country will ease foreign ownership limits for auto and aircraft manufacturers. Germany’s Zew Index (tracks business sentiment) missed versus expectations in April, falling to the lowest level since November 2012. The weakness is being attributed to global trade tensions given Germany’s heavy reliance on exports. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Randal Quarles will testify before the House Financial Services Committee this morning, and market participants will be watching for any announcements related to bank regulation changes, particularly the Supplementary Leverage Ratio.

Jason Haley
Managing Director, Investment Management Group

Date TimeEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
04/17/2018Housing Starts1267k1319k1236k1295k
04/17/2018Housing Starts MoM2.50%1.90%-7.00%-3.30%
04/17/2018Building Permits1321k1354k1298k1321k
04/17/2018Building Permits MoM0.00%2.50%-5.70%-4.10%
04/17/2018Industrial Production MoM0.30%0.50%1.10%1.00%
04/17/2018Manufacturing (SIC) Production0.10%0.10%1.20%1.50%
04/17/2018Capacity Utilization77.90%78.00%78.10%77.70%
04/18/2018MBA Mortgage Applications-1.90%
04/18/2018U.S. Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book
04/19/2018Initial Jobless Claims230k233k
04/19/2018Continuing Claims1845k1871k
04/19/2018Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook2122.3
04/19/2018Bloomberg Economic Expectations56
04/19/2018Bloomberg Consumer Comfort58
04/19/2018Leading Index0.30%0.60%
04/23/2018Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index0.88
04/23/2018Markit US Manufacturing PMI55.655.6
04/23/2018Markit US Services PMI5454
04/23/2018Markit US Composite PMI54.2
04/23/2018Existing Home Sales5.57m5.54m
04/23/2018Existing Home Sales MoM0.50%3.00%
04/24/2018FHFA House Price Index MoM0.40%0.80%
04/24/2018S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City NSA Index205.1
04/24/2018S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA0.70%0.75%
04/24/2018S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA6.40%
04/24/2018S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI NSA Index196.31
04/24/2018S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA6.18%
04/24/2018New Home Sales628k618k
04/24/2018New Home Sales MoM1.60%-0.60%
04/24/2018Richmond Fed Manufact. Index1715
04/24/2018Conf. Board Consumer Confidence126127.7
04/24/2018Conf. Board Present Situation159.9
04/24/2018Conf. Board Expectations106.2