Treasuries are little changed this morning following a relatively uneventful overnight session.  Global equity markets are quiet today as well, with little movement in either direction. There was one negative headline on the trade front. Another $16 billion tariff tranche was implemented versus China, but it was not a surprise or big deal from a market perspective. However, a Wall Street Journal article suggests that the probability of another 25% tariff versus $200 billion of Chinese goods is higher than the markets currently anticipate. The July existing home sales report released yesterday showed a fourth consecutive monthly decline in activity (-0.7% versus 0.4% expected). Sales are now at the slowest pace since February 2016, and while some of the weakness is being attributed to low inventory levels, higher mortgage rates and home prices are also likely factors affecting the housing market.

Jason Haley
Managing Director, Investment Management Group

Date TimeEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
08/22/2018MBA Mortgage Applications4.20%-2.00%
08/22/2018Existing Home Sales5.40m5.34m5.38m
08/22/2018Existing Home Sales MoM0.40%-0.70%-0.60%
08/22/2018FOMC Meeting Minutes
08/23/2018Initial Jobless Claims215k210k212k
08/23/2018Continuing Claims1730k1727k1721k1729k
08/23/2018FHFA House Price Index MoM0.30%0.20%0.20%0.40%
08/23/2018House Price Purchase Index QoQ1.10%1.70%1.90%
08/23/2018Bloomberg Consumer Comfort58.9
08/23/2018Markit US Manufacturing PMI5555.3
08/23/2018Markit US Services PMI55.856
08/23/2018Markit US Composite PMI55.7
08/23/2018New Home Sales645k631k
08/23/2018New Home Sales MoM2.20%-5.30%
08/23/2018Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity2323
08/24/2018Durable Goods Orders-1.00%0.80%
08/24/2018Durables Ex Transportation0.50%0.20%
08/24/2018Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air0.50%0.20%
08/24/2018Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air0.30%0.70%