Treasuries continued yesterday’s sell off as equity markets moved higher following the continued lull in trade war rhetoric since last Friday’s imposition of tariffs between China and the US. Given that the Trump administration is now turning its focus on the Supreme Court pick as well as the upcoming trip to Europe, the market will shift its attention to the upcoming earnings season; a welcome respite from the recent trade war talk.

Hafizan Hamzah
Director, Investment Management Group

Date TimeEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
07/09/2018Consumer Credit$12.000b$24.559b$9.262b$10.273b
07/10/2018NFIB Small Business Optimism106.9107.2107.8
07/10/2018JOLTS Job Openings66206698
07/11/2018MBA Mortgage Applications-0.50%
07/11/2018PPI Final Demand MoM0.20%0.50%
07/11/2018PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.20%0.30%
07/11/2018PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM0.20%0.10%
07/11/2018PPI Final Demand YoY3.10%3.10%
07/11/2018PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY2.60%2.40%
07/11/2018PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY2.60%
07/11/2018Wholesale Trade Sales MoM0.50%0.80%
07/11/2018Wholesale Inventories MoM0.50%0.50%
07/12/2018Initial Jobless Claims225k231k
07/12/2018Continuing Claims1730k1739k
07/12/2018CPI MoM0.20%0.20%
07/12/2018CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.20%0.20%
07/12/2018CPI YoY2.90%2.80%
07/12/2018CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY2.30%2.20%
07/12/2018CPI Index NSA252.092251.588
07/12/2018CPI Core Index SA257.361256.889
07/12/2018Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY0.30%
07/12/2018Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY0.00%
07/12/2018Bloomberg July United States Economic Survey
07/12/2018Bloomberg Consumer Comfort57.6
07/12/2018Monthly Budget Statement-$80.0b-$146.8b
07/13/2018Import Price Index MoM0.10%0.60%
07/13/2018Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM0.20%0.10%
07/13/2018Import Price Index YoY4.60%4.30%
07/13/2018Export Price Index MoM0.20%0.60%
07/13/2018Export Price Index YoY4.90%
07/13/2018U. of Mich. Sentiment9898.2
07/13/2018U. of Mich. Current Conditions116.5
07/13/2018U. of Mich. Expectations86.3
07/13/2018U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation3.00%
07/13/2018U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation2.60%
07/16/2018Retail Sales Advance MoM0.60%0.80%
07/16/2018Empire Manufacturing2025
07/16/2018Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM0.40%0.90%
07/16/2018Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas0.40%0.80%
07/16/2018Retail Sales Control Group0.50%
07/16/2018Business Inventories0.40%0.30%
07/17/2018Industrial Production MoM0.60%-0.10%
07/17/2018Manufacturing (SIC) Production-0.70%
07/17/2018Capacity Utilization78.30%77.90%
07/17/2018NAHB Housing Market Index6968
07/17/2018Total Net TIC Flows$138.7b
07/17/2018Net Long-term TIC Flows$93.9b