US and European equities are higher this morning alongside US Treasuries in what was a quiet trading session leading up to the FOMC decision on Wednesday. While the central bank has already hinted at easing policy at the upcoming meeting, the press conference will provide an opportunity to gauge the future monetary policy trajectory. In addition, global trade has shifted back into the spotlight with the US and China set to gather Tuesday for two days of talks for the first time in three months since negotiations broke down. President Trump has also threatened to levy tariffs on French wine in response to a digital tax placed on American technology companies.
Chris Eckhoff
Associate, Investment Management Group
Date | Event | Survey | Actual | Prior | Revised |
7/29/2019 | Dallas Fed Manf. Activity | -5.5 | — | -12.1 | — |
7/30/2019 | Personal Income | 0.40% | — | 0.50% | — |
7/30/2019 | Personal Spending | 0.30% | — | 0.40% | — |
7/30/2019 | Real Personal Spending | 0.20% | — | 0.20% | — |
7/30/2019 | PCE Deflator MoM | 0.10% | — | 0.20% | — |
7/30/2019 | PCE Deflator YoY | 1.50% | — | 1.50% | — |
7/30/2019 | PCE Core Deflator MoM | 0.20% | — | 0.20% | — |
7/30/2019 | PCE Core Deflator YoY | 1.70% | — | 1.60% | — |
7/30/2019 | S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA | 0.20% | — | 0.00% | — |
7/30/2019 | S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA | 2.40% | — | 2.54% | — |
7/30/2019 | S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City NSA Index | — | — | 215.68 | — |
7/30/2019 | S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA | — | — | 3.54% | — |
7/30/2019 | S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI NSA Index | — | — | 207.97 | — |
7/30/2019 | Pending Home Sales MoM | 0.50% | — | 1.10% | — |
7/30/2019 | Pending Home Sales NSA YoY | 0.40% | — | -0.80% | — |
7/30/2019 | Conf. Board Consumer Confidence | 125 | — | 121.5 | — |
7/30/2019 | Conf. Board Present Situation | — | — | 162.6 | — |
7/30/2019 | Conf. Board Expectations | — | — | 94.1 | — |
7/31/2019 | MBA Mortgage Applications | — | — | -1.90% | — |
7/31/2019 | ADP Employment Change | 150k | — | 102k | — |
7/31/2019 | Employment Cost Index | 0.70% | — | 0.70% | — |
7/31/2019 | MNI Chicago PMI | 51.2 | — | 49.7 | — |
7/31/2019 | FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) | 2.25% | — | 2.50% | — |
7/31/2019 | FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) | 2.00% | — | 2.25% | — |
7/31/2019 | Interest Rate on Excess Reserves | 2.10% | — | 2.35% | — |
8/1/2019 | Challenger Job Cuts YoY | — | — | 12.80% | — |
8/1/2019 | Initial Jobless Claims | 214k | — | 206k | — |
8/1/2019 | Continuing Claims | 1680k | — | 1676k | — |
8/1/2019 | Bloomberg Consumer Comfort | — | — | 63.7 | — |
8/1/2019 | Markit US Manufacturing PMI | 50 | — | 50 | — |
8/1/2019 | ISM Manufacturing | 52 | — | 51.7 | — |
8/1/2019 | ISM Employment | — | — | 54.5 | — |
8/1/2019 | ISM Prices Paid | 49.1 | — | 47.9 | — |
8/1/2019 | ISM New Orders | — | — | 50 | — |
8/1/2019 | Construction Spending MoM | 0.30% | — | -0.80% | — |
8/1/2019 | Wards Total Vehicle Sales | 16.90m | — | 17.30m | — |
8/2/2019 | Change in Nonfarm Payrolls | 166k | — | 224k | — |
8/2/2019 | Two-Month Payroll Net Revision | — | — | — | — |
8/2/2019 | Change in Private Payrolls | 166k | — | 191k | — |
8/2/2019 | Change in Manufact. Payrolls | 5k | — | 17k | — |
8/2/2019 | Unemployment Rate | 3.70% | — | 3.70% | — |
8/2/2019 | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.20% | — | 0.20% | — |
8/2/2019 | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.10% | — | 3.10% | — |
8/2/2019 | Average Weekly Hours All Employees | 34.4 | — | 34.4 | — |
8/2/2019 | Labor Force Participation Rate | — | — | 62.90% | — |
8/2/2019 | Underemployment Rate | — | — | 7.20% | — |
8/2/2019 | Trade Balance | -$54.6b | — | -$55.5b | — |
8/2/2019 | Factory Orders | 0.70% | — | -0.70% | — |
8/2/2019 | Factory Orders Ex Trans | — | — | 0.10% | — |
8/2/2019 | Durable Goods Orders | — | — | 2.00% | — |
8/2/2019 | Durables Ex Transportation | — | — | 1.20% | — |
8/2/2019 | Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air | — | — | 1.90% | — |
8/2/2019 | Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air | — | — | 0.60% | — |
8/2/2019 | U. of Mich. Sentiment | 98.5 | — | 98.4 | — |
8/2/2019 | U. of Mich. Current Conditions | — | — | 111.1 | — |
8/2/2019 | U. of Mich. Expectations | — | — | 90.1 | — |
8/2/2019 | U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation | — | — | 2.60% | — |
8/2/2019 | U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation | — | — | 2.60% | — |
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