May 1, 2020 Headlines

Treasury prices are higher this morning in a mild risk-off trade following President Trump’s comments suggesting he’s considering blocking a government retirement fund from investing in Chinese assets. S&P 500 futures are down 2% ahead of the open, and most European markets are closed for holiday. Somber corporate earnings and forward guidance are also weighing on sentiment. Exxon Mobile posted its first quarterly loss in at least 32 years, and Amazon warned of a possible second-quarter loss. Apple declined to provide an earnings forecast in more than a decade. While this news is not really a revelation, it is another reminder of how deep and wide the current economic malaise is, and the recovery isn’t as simple as flipping on a switch.

Jason Haley
Chief Investment Officer

DateEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
4/27/2020Revisions: Retail Trade
4/27/2020Dallas Fed Manf. Activity-75-73.7-70
4/28/2020Advance Goods Trade Balance-$55.0b-$64.2b-$59.9b
4/28/2020Wholesale Inventories MoM-0.40%-1.00%-0.70%-0.60%
4/28/2020Retail Inventories MoM0.50%0.90%-0.30%-0.40%
4/28/2020S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA0.35%0.45%0.30%0.35%
4/28/2020S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA3.19%3.47%3.08%3.12%
4/28/2020S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City NSA Index219.75218.62218.71
4/28/2020S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA4.10%4.16%3.92%3.88%
4/28/2020S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI NSA Index213.16212.43212.34
4/28/2020Conf. Board Consumer Confidence8786.9120118.8
4/28/2020Conf. Board Expectations93.888.286.8
4/28/2020Conf. Board Present Situation76.4167.7166.7
4/28/2020Richmond Fed Manufact. Index-41-532
4/29/2020MBA Mortgage Applications-3.30%-0.30%
4/29/2020GDP Annualized QoQ-4.00%-4.80%2.10%
4/29/2020Personal Consumption-3.60%-7.60%1.80%
4/29/2020GDP Price Index1.00%1.30%1.30%
4/29/2020Core PCE QoQ1.70%1.80%1.30%
4/29/2020Pending Home Sales MoM-14.30%-20.80%2.40%2.30%
4/29/2020Pending Home Sales NSA YoY-7.60%-14.50%11.50%11.40%
4/29/2020FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound)0.25%0.25%0.25%
4/29/2020FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound)0.00%0.00%0.00%
4/29/2020Interest Rate on Excess Reserves0.10%0.10%0.10%
4/30/2020Personal Income-1.70%-2.00%0.60%
4/30/2020Personal Spending-5.10%-7.50%0.20%
4/30/2020Real Personal Spending-6.20%-7.30%0.10%
4/30/2020PCE Deflator MoM-0.30%-0.30%0.10%
4/30/2020PCE Deflator YoY1.30%1.30%1.80%
4/30/2020PCE Core Deflator MoM-0.10%-0.10%0.20%
4/30/2020PCE Core Deflator YoY1.60%1.70%1.80%
4/30/2020Initial Jobless Claims3500k3839k4427k4442k
4/30/2020Continuing Claims19476k17992k15976k15818k
4/30/2020Employment Cost Index0.60%0.80%0.70%
4/30/2020MNI Chicago PMI36.935.447.8
4/30/2020Bloomberg Consumer Comfort39.541.4
5/1/2020Markit US Manufacturing PMI36.736.9
5/1/2020Construction Spending MoM-3.50%-1.30%
5/1/2020ISM Manufacturing3649.1
5/1/2020ISM New Orders3042.2
5/1/2020ISM Prices Paid3337.4
5/1/2020ISM Employment43.8
5/1/2020Wards Total Vehicle Sales7.00m11.37m

 

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