November 6, 2019 Headlines
Treasury yields turned lower this morning following the first decline in U.S. productivity since Q4 2015. Employee output per hour fell 0.3% annualized in Q3 according to a Labor Department report, sparking concerns that the economy may be losing steam. There’s mixed performance in global equity markets today, and S&P 500 futures are essentially unchanged at the moment. Three Fed leaders will be speaking today, including John Williams from the New York Fed.
Jason Haley
Managing Director, Investment Management Group
Date | Event | Survey | Actual | Prior | Revised |
11/4/2019 | Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air | — | -0.60% | -0.50% | -0.60% |
11/4/2019 | Durables Ex Transportation | -0.30% | -0.40% | -0.30% | -0.40% |
11/4/2019 | Durable Goods Orders | -1.10% | -1.20% | -1.10% | -1.20% |
11/4/2019 | Factory Orders | -0.50% | -0.60% | -0.10% | — |
11/4/2019 | Factory Orders Ex Trans | — | -0.10% | 0.00% | -0.20% |
11/4/2019 | Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air | — | -0.70% | -0.70% | — |
11/5/2019 | Trade Balance | -$52.4b | -$52.5b | -$54.9b | -$55.0b |
11/5/2019 | Markit US Services PMI | 51 | 50.6 | 51 | — |
11/5/2019 | Markit US Composite PMI | — | 50.9 | 51.2 | — |
11/5/2019 | JOLTS Job Openings | 7063 | 7024 | 7051 | 7301 |
11/5/2019 | ISM Non-Manufacturing Index | 53.5 | 54.7 | 52.6 | — |
11/6/2019 | MBA Mortgage Applications | — | -0.10% | 0.60% | — |
11/6/2019 | Nonfarm Productivity | 0.90% | -0.30% | 2.30% | 2.50% |
11/6/2019 | Unit Labor Costs | 2.20% | 3.60% | 2.60% | 2.40% |
11/7/2019 | Initial Jobless Claims | 215k | — | 218k | — |
11/7/2019 | Continuing Claims | 1682k | — | 1690k | — |
11/7/2019 | Bloomberg Consumer Comfort | — | — | 61 | — |
11/7/2019 | Consumer Credit | $15.000b | — | $17.901b | — |
11/8/2019 | Bloomberg Nov. United States Economic Survey | ||||
11/8/2019 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | -0.30% | — | -0.30% | — |
11/8/2019 | Wholesale Trade Sales MoM | 0.20% | — | 0.00% | — |
11/8/2019 | U. of Mich. Sentiment | 95.5 | — | 95.5 | — |
11/8/2019 | U. of Mich. Current Conditions | 113.5 | — | 113.2 | — |
11/8/2019 | U. of Mich. Expectations | 85 | — | 84.2 | — |
11/8/2019 | U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation | — | — | 2.50% | — |
11/8/2019 | U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation | — | — | 2.30% | — |
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