Site Search

Looking for something? Use the search bar below or visit our Resources page.


Author Jason Haley

Published

Estimated

It was a relatively quiet overnight session with several European markets closed for the Easter holiday, and market participants are also balancing multiple headlines over the weekend related to the Iran war.

There were reports of a potential 45-day ceasefire, but President Trump leaned into another deadline for Iranian leaders to reach a deal by tomorrow night at 8pm ET. Treasuries, US equity futures, and oil prices are all relatively stable to start the day. This week’s economic calendar is relatively busy. ISM services sector data for March will be released later this morning, and the minutes of the March 18 FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday. On Thursday, the February PCE inflation report will be released, as well as updated jobless claims data. The Fedspeak calendar is lighter, with only three Fed leaders speaking this week (2 on Tuesday, 1 on Wednesday). 

Jason Haley
President & Chief Investment Officer

DateEventSurveyActualPrior
4/6/2026ISM Reschedules March Services PMI to April 6   
4/6/2026ISM Services Index54.9     —56.1
4/6/2026ISM Services Prices Paid67     —63
4/6/2026ISM Services New Orders56.8     —58.6
4/6/2026ISM Services Employment51     —51.8
4/7/2026ADP Weekly Employment Change     —     —10.000k
4/7/2026Durable Goods Orders-1.00%     —0.00%
4/7/2026Durables Ex Transportation0.40%     —0.40%
4/7/2026Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air0.50%     —     —
4/7/2026Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air0.40%     —-0.10%
4/7/2026NY Fed 1-Yr Inflation Expectations     —     —3.00%
4/7/2026Consumer Credit$11.250b     —$8.050b
4/8/2026MBA Mortgage Applications     —     —-10.40%
4/8/2026FOMC Meeting Minutes     —     —     —
4/9/2026Personal Income0.30%     —0.40%
4/9/2026Personal Spending0.60%     —0.40%
4/9/2026Real Personal Spending0.20%     —0.10%
4/9/2026PCE Price Index MoM0.40%     —0.30%
4/9/2026PCE Price Index YoY2.80%     —2.80%
4/9/2026Core PCE Price Index MoM0.40%     —0.40%
4/9/2026Core PCE Price Index YoY3.00%     —3.10%
4/9/2026Initial Jobless Claims210k     —202k
4/9/2026Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg     —     —207.75k
4/9/2026Continuing Claims1835k     —1841k
4/9/2026GDP Annualized QoQ0.70%     —0.70%
4/9/2026Personal Consumption2.00%     —2.00%
4/9/2026GDP Price Index3.80%     —3.80%
4/9/2026Core PCE Price Index QoQ2.70%     —2.70%
4/9/2026Wholesale Inventories MoM-0.20%     —-0.50%
4/9/2026Wholesale Trade Sales MoM     —     —0.50%
4/10/2026Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY     —     —1.70%
4/10/2026Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY     —     —1.40%
4/10/2026CPI MoM1.00%     —0.30%
4/10/2026Core CPI MoM0.30%     —0.20%
4/10/2026CPI YoY3.40%     —2.40%
4/10/2026Core CPI YoY2.70%     —2.50%
4/10/2026CPI Index NSA330.535     —326.785
4/10/2026Core CPI Index SA334.31     —333.512
4/10/2026Factory Orders-0.20%     —0.10%
4/10/2026U. of Mich. Sentiment51.5     —53.3
4/10/2026Factory Orders Ex Trans     —     —0.40%
4/10/2026U. of Mich. Current Conditions53.4     —55.8
4/10/2026U. of Mich. Expectations49     —51.7
4/10/2026U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation     —     —3.80%
4/10/2026U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation3.50%     —3.20%
4/10/2026Durable Goods Orders     —     —0.00%
4/10/2026Durables Ex Transportation     —     —0.40%
4/10/2026Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air     —     —0.10%
4/10/2026Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air     —     —-0.10%
4/10/2026Federal Budget Balance-$152.5b     —-$160.5b
4/13/2026Existing Home Sales     —     —4.09m
4/13/2026Existing Home Sales MoM     —     —1.70%

Jason Haley

Chief Investment Officer

LinkedIn

  Headline Disclaimer

ALM First offers investment advisory services through ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC, which is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the SEC nor does it indicate that the firm has attained a particular level of skill or ability. The information contained herein does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation for you to purchase or sell any specific security. You are solely responsible for reviewing the content and for any actions you take or choose not to take based on your review of such content.

Information contained herein was derived from third party sources as indicated. While such information is believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty is made concerning the accuracy of any information presented. We have not and will not independently verify this information. Where such sources include opinions and projections, such opinions and projections should be ascribed only to the applicable third party source and not to ALM First.

Statements herein that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance are forward-looking statements. Such “forward-looking” statements are based on various assumptions, which assumptions may not prove to be correct. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that such assumptions and statements will accurately predict future events or actual performance. No representation or warranty can be given that the estimates, opinions or assumptions made herein will prove to be accurate. Any projections and forward-looking statements included herein should be considered speculative and are qualified in their entirety by the information and risks disclosed in the confidential offering document. Actual results for any period may or may not approximate such forward-looking statements. No representations or warranties whatsoever are made by ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC or any other person or entity as to the future profitability of investments recommended by ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC.



Recent Beyond The Headlines


  Headlines RSS
Strategic Partners

Let’s Work Together

ALM First is your agile partner with a trusted history of delivering results.