Treasury yields are up 2 to 3 bps across the curve this morning following better-than-expected economic data of Europe the catalyst.
Last week’s jobless claims number came right in line with expectations at 232,000 while continuing claims hit 1.863 million vs 1.870 million expected. Initial jobless claims rose by 4,000 last week from an upwardly revised number of 228,000, this relatively small increase combined with the upward trend in the number hints at a slowly cooling labor market. Later today we’ll get existing home sales data which is expected to show a 1.3% m/m increase amidst lower mortgage rates.
Hafizan Hamzah
Senior Director, Investment Management Group
| Date | Event | Survey | Actual | Prior | Revised |
| 8/22/2024 | Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index | 0.03 | -0.34 | 0.05 | -0.09 |
| 8/22/2024 | Initial Jobless Claims | 232k | 232k | 227k | 228k |
| 8/22/2024 | Continuing Claims | 1870k | 1863k | 1864k | 1859k |
| 8/22/2024 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI | 49.5 | — | 49.6 | — |
| 8/22/2024 | S&P Global US Services PMI | 54 | — | 55 | — |
| 8/22/2024 | S&P Global US Composite PMI | 53.2 | — | 54.3 | — |
| 8/22/2024 | Existing Home Sales | 3.94m | — | 3.89m | — |
| 8/22/2024 | Existing Home Sales MoM | 1.30% | — | -5.40% | — |
| 8/22/2024 | Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity | -9 | — | -13 | — |
| 8/23/2024 | Bloomberg Aug. United States Economic Survey | ||||
| 8/23/2024 | New Home Sales | 623k | — | 617k | — |
| 8/23/2024 | New Home Sales MoM | 1.00% | — | -0.60% | — |
| 8/23/2024 | Kansas City Fed Services Activity | — | — | -4 | — |
| 8/26/2024 | Durable Goods Orders | 3.50% | — | -6.70% | — |
| 8/26/2024 | Durables Ex Transportation | -0.10% | — | 0.40% | — |
| 8/26/2024 | Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air | 0.10% | — | 0.90% | — |
| 8/26/2024 | Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air | — | — | 0.20% | — |
| 8/26/2024 | Dallas Fed Manf. Activity | — | — | -17.5 | — |
| 8/27/2024 | FHFA House Price Index MoM | — | — | 0.00% | — |
| 8/27/2024 | House Price Purchase Index QoQ | — | — | 1.10% | — |
| 8/27/2024 | S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA | — | — | 0.34% | — |
| 8/27/2024 | S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA | — | — | 5.94% | — |
| 8/27/2024 | S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA | — | — | 6.81% | — |
| 8/27/2024 | Conf. Board Consumer Confidence | 100 | — | 100.3 | — |
| 8/27/2024 | Conf. Board Present Situation | — | — | 133.6 | — |
| 8/27/2024 | Conf. Board Expectations | — | — | 78.2 | — |
| 8/27/2024 | Richmond Fed Manufact. Index | — | — | -17 | — |
| 8/27/2024 | Richmond Fed Business Conditions | — | — | -9 | — |
| 8/27/2024 | Dallas Fed Services Activity | — | — | -0.1 | — |
| 8/28/2024 | MBA Mortgage Applications | — | — | -10.10% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | GDP Annualized QoQ | 2.80% | — | 2.80% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Personal Consumption | — | — | 2.30% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | GDP Price Index | — | — | 2.30% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Core PCE Price Index QoQ | — | — | 2.90% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Advance Goods Trade Balance | -$97.3b | — | -$96.8b | -$96.6b |
| 8/29/2024 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | — | — | 0.20% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Retail Inventories MoM | — | — | 0.70% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Initial Jobless Claims | — | — | 232k | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Continuing Claims | — | — | 1863k | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Pending Home Sales MoM | — | — | 4.80% | — |
| 8/29/2024 | Pending Home Sales NSA YoY | — | — | -7.80% | — |