Treasury yields are 2-3 basis points higher across the curve to start the day.
Alphabet announced that it plans to borrow $25 billion via a 10-part bond issue to fund its AI buildout. The company has already issued $50 billion of bonds in the first half of 2026, and it will be another test of the market’s appetite for AI-related debt. Initial jobless claim fillings were 199,000 last week, less than expected and essentially unchanged from the prior week. The number of people continuing to file unemployment claims rose more than expected to 1.8 million, but that figure is still down 100,000 from the end of last year. The July jobs report will be released tomorrow morning, which is expected to show 80,000 jobs added to nonfarm payrolls.
Jason Haley
Chief Investment Officer
| Date | Event | Survey | Actual | Prior | Revised |
| 8/6/2026 | Challenger Job Cuts YoY | — | -46.10% | -4.50% | — |
| 8/6/2026 | Challenger Job Cuts Total | — | 33429 | 45849 | — |
| 8/6/2026 | Nonfarm Productivity | 0.60% | 1.40% | 0.30% | 0.80% |
| 8/6/2026 | Unit Labor Costs | 2.10% | 1.30% | 1.80% | 1.30% |
| 8/6/2026 | Initial Jobless Claims | 205k | 199k | 197k | 198k |
| 8/6/2026 | Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg | — | 198.75k | 202.75k | 203.25k |
| 8/6/2026 | Continuing Claims | 1789k | 1801k | 1782k | 1777k |
| 8/6/2026 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.30% | — | 0.30% | — |
| 8/6/2026 | Wholesale Trade Sales MoM | — | — | 3.40% | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Change in Nonfarm Payrolls | 80k | — | 57k | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Two-Month Payroll Net Revision | — | — | -74k | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Change in Private Payrolls | 83k | — | 49k | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Change in Manufact. Payrolls | 3k | — | 3k | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Nonfarm Payrolls 3-Mo Avg Chg | — | — | 111k | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.30% | — | 0.30% | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.50% | — | 3.50% | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Average Weekly Hours All Employees | 34.3 | — | 34.3 | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Unemployment Rate | 4.20% | — | 4.20% | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Labor Force Participation Rate | 61.60% | — | 61.50% | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Underemployment Rate | — | — | 7.90% | — |
| 8/7/2026 | NY Fed 1-Yr Inflation Expectations | 3.71% | — | 3.67% | — |
| 8/7/2026 | Consumer Credit | $11.600b | — | -$0.182b | — |
| 8/11/2026 | NFIB Small Business Optimism | — | — | 97.4 | — |
| 8/11/2026 | ADP Weekly Employment Change | — | — | 15.000k | — |
| 8/11/2026 | Existing Home Sales | 4.06m | — | 4.09m | — |
| 8/11/2026 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -0.70% | — | -2.40% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | MBA Mortgage Applications | — | — | -2.90% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | CPI MoM | 0.20% | — | -0.40% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | Core CPI MoM | 0.20% | — | 0.00% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | CPI YoY | 3.50% | — | 3.50% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | Core CPI YoY | 2.50% | — | 2.60% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | CPI Index NSA | — | — | 333.952 | — |
| 8/12/2026 | Core CPI Index SA | — | — | 336.065 | — |
| 8/12/2026 | Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY | — | — | 0.10% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY | — | — | 0.30% | — |
| 8/12/2026 | Federal Budget Balance | — | — | -$291.1b | — |
| 8/13/2026 | Initial Jobless Claims | — | — | 199k | — |
| 8/13/2026 | Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg | — | — | 198.75k | — |
| 8/13/2026 | Continuing Claims | — | — | 1801k | — |
| 8/13/2026 | PPI Final Demand MoM | 0.20% | — | -0.30% | — |
| 8/13/2026 | PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM | 0.30% | — | 0.20% | — |
| 8/13/2026 | PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM | 0.30% | — | 0.10% | — |
| 8/13/2026 | PPI Final Demand YoY | — | — | 5.50% | — |
| 8/13/2026 | PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY | — | — | 4.70% | — |
| 8/13/2026 | PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY | — | — | 5.10% | — |