Treasuries are mixed to start the week, with front-end yields down 2-4 basis points on better buying in overseas markets overnight.
China cut its 5-year Loan Prime Rate by the largest amount on record in a bid to offset its struggling property sector. According to a Bloomberg article this morning, foreign businesses’ direct investment into China last year was the lowest in 30 years. The U.S. economic data calendar is relatively light week. The highlights will be the minutes of the January 31 FOMC meeting (tomorrow) and weekly jobless claims (Thursday). There are multiple Fed speakers this week, but it’s unlikely that we will get any fresh perspective given that most of them have spoken recently.
Jason Haley
Chief Investment Officer
| Date | Event | Survey | Actual | Prior | Revised |
| 2/20/2024 | Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Activity | — | -8.8 | -3.7 | — |
| 2/20/2024 | Leading Index | ##### | — | ##### | — |
| 2/21/2024 | MBA Mortgage Applications | — | — | ##### | — |
| 2/21/2024 | FOMC Meeting Minutes | — | — | — | — |
| 2/22/2024 | Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index | -0.23 | — | -0.15 | — |
| 2/22/2024 | Initial Jobless Claims | 216k | — | 212k | — |
| 2/22/2024 | Continuing Claims | 1885k | — | 1895k | — |
| 2/22/2024 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI | 50.5 | — | 50.7 | — |
| 2/22/2024 | S&P Global US Services PMI | 52.5 | — | 52.5 | — |
| 2/22/2024 | S&P Global US Composite PMI | 52 | — | 52 | — |
| 2/22/2024 | Existing Home Sales | 3.96m | — | 3.78m | — |
| 2/22/2024 | Existing Home Sales MoM | 4.80% | — | ##### | — |
| 2/23/2024 | Bloomberg Feb. United States Economic Survey | ||||
| 2/26/2024 | New Home Sales | 685k | — | 664k | — |
| 2/26/2024 | New Home Sales MoM | 3.20% | — | 8.00% | — |
| 2/26/2024 | Dallas Fed Manf. Activity | — | — | -27.4 | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Durable Goods Orders | ##### | — | 0.00% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Durables Ex Transportation | 0.20% | — | 0.50% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air | — | — | 0.20% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air | — | — | 0.00% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | House Price Purchase Index QoQ | — | — | 2.10% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | FHFA House Price Index MoM | — | — | 0.30% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA | — | — | 0.15% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA | — | — | 5.40% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA | — | — | 5.14% | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Richmond Fed Manufact. Index | — | — | -15 | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Conf. Board Consumer Confidence | 114.8 | — | 114.8 | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Conf. Board Present Situation | — | — | 161.3 | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Conf. Board Expectations | — | — | 83.8 | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Richmond Fed Business Conditions | — | — | -3 | — |
| 2/27/2024 | Dallas Fed Services Activity | — | — | -9.3 | — |