Site Search

Looking for something? Use the search bar below or visit our Resources page.


Author Jason Haley

Published

Estimated

Treasuries are little changed on a relatively quiet morning with most Asian markets closed for Lunar New Year.

The only item on the domestic economic calendar for today was the release of the annual CPI benchmark revisions, which was largely in line with original estimates. The fresh data showed core CPI rising a 3.3% annualized rate in Q1 2023, unchanged from the prior reading. There was some market anxiety that the annual revision would show higher than initial reported inflation. Later today, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan will participate in a panel discussion locally.

Jason Haley
Chief Investment Officer

DateEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
02/09/2024Revisions: CPI
2/12/2024NY Fed 1-Yr Inflation Expectations——3.01%—
2/12/2024Monthly Budget Statement——-$129.4b—
2/13/2024NFIB Small Business Optimism——91.9—
2/13/2024CPI MoM0.20%—0.30%0.20%
2/13/2024CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.30%—0.30%—
2/13/2024CPI YoY2.90%—3.40%—
2/13/2024CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY3.70%—3.90%—
2/13/2024CPI Index NSA307.922—306.746—
2/13/2024CPI Core Index SA——313.216313.209
2/13/2024Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY——0.50%0.70%
2/13/2024Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY——0.80%1.00%
2/14/2024MBA Mortgage Applications——3.70%—
2/14/2024Revisions: PPI
2/15/2024Empire Manufacturing-10—-43.7—
2/15/2024Retail Sales Advance MoM-0.20%—0.60%—
2/15/2024Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM0.10%—0.40%—
2/15/2024Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas0.20%—0.60%—
2/15/2024Retail Sales Control Group0.20%—0.80%—
2/15/2024Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook-9—-10.6—
2/15/2024Import Price Index MoM-0.10%—0.00%—
2/15/2024Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM——0.00%—
2/15/2024Import Price Index YoY——-1.60%—
2/15/2024Export Price Index MoM-0.20%—-0.90%—
2/15/2024Export Price Index YoY——-3.20%—
2/15/2024Initial Jobless Claims——218k—
2/15/2024Continuing Claims——1871k—
2/15/2024Industrial Production MoM0.40%—0.10%—
2/15/2024Capacity Utilization79.00%—78.60%—
2/15/2024Manufacturing (SIC) Production——0.10%—
2/15/2024Business Inventories0.40%—-0.10%—
2/15/2024NAHB Housing Market Index——44—
2/15/2024Total Net TIC Flows——$260.2b—
2/15/2024Net Long-term TIC Flows——$126.1b—
2/16/2024Housing Starts1460k—1460k—
2/16/2024Housing Starts MoM0.00%—-4.30%—
2/16/2024Building Permits1515k—1495k1493k
2/16/2024Building Permits MoM1.50%—1.90%1.80%
2/16/2024New York Fed Services Business Activity——-9.7—
2/16/2024PPI Final Demand MoM0.10%—-0.10%—
2/16/2024PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.10%—0.00%—
2/16/2024PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM——0.20%—
2/16/2024PPI Final Demand YoY——1.00%—
2/16/2024PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY——1.80%—
2/16/2024PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY——2.50%—
2/16/2024U. of Mich. Sentiment79—79—
2/16/2024U. of Mich. Current Conditions——81.9—
2/16/2024U. of Mich. Expectations——77.1—
2/16/2024U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation——2.90%—
2/16/2024U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation——2.90%—

Jason Haley

Chief Investment Officer

LinkedIn

  Headline Disclaimer

ALM First offers investment advisory services through ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC, which is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the SEC nor does it indicate that the firm has attained a particular level of skill or ability. The information contained herein does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation for you to purchase or sell any specific security. You are solely responsible for reviewing the content and for any actions you take or choose not to take based on your review of such content.

Information contained herein was derived from third party sources as indicated. While such information is believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty is made concerning the accuracy of any information presented. We have not and will not independently verify this information. Where such sources include opinions and projections, such opinions and projections should be ascribed only to the applicable third party source and not to ALM First.

Statements herein that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance are forward-looking statements. Such “forward-looking” statements are based on various assumptions, which assumptions may not prove to be correct. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that such assumptions and statements will accurately predict future events or actual performance. No representation or warranty can be given that the estimates, opinions or assumptions made herein will prove to be accurate. Any projections and forward-looking statements included herein should be considered speculative and are qualified in their entirety by the information and risks disclosed in the confidential offering document. Actual results for any period may or may not approximate such forward-looking statements. No representations or warranties whatsoever are made by ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC or any other person or entity as to the future profitability of investments recommended by ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC.



Recent Beyond The Headlines


  Headlines RSS
Strategic Partners

Let’s Work Together

ALM First is your agile partner with a trusted history of delivering results.