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Author Kirby Hart

Published

Estimated

Treasury yields have shifted back to relatively unchanged levels across the curve on the day.

Global news about the war in the Middle East has dominated headlines to start the day. Iran has announced an end to the waves of attacks that began over the weekend. Israel and Iran had been exchanging attacks, which put the ceasefire agreement on hold for a time. Markets have rebounded this morning on news that the attacks have stopped and attention has returned to discussing a resolution. Equity futures point to a positive opening today following Friday’s sell-off, which was driven by the technology sector. S&P 500 futures indicate a positive open of 0.95%, while oil futures are lower.

Kirby Hart
Director

DateEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
6/8/2026NY Fed 1-Yr Inflation Expectations3.72%     —3.64%     —
6/9/2026NFIB Small Business Optimism96     —95.9     —
6/9/2026ADP Weekly Employment Change     —     —35.750k     —
6/9/2026Trade Balance-$56.5b     —-$60.3b     —
6/9/2026Imports MoM1.20%     —2.30%     —
6/9/2026Exports MoM2.60%     —2.00%     —
6/9/2026Existing Home Sales4.06m     —4.02m     —
6/9/2026Existing Home Sales MoM1.00%     —0.20%     —
6/9/2026Wholesale Inventories MoM0.60%     —0.50%     —
6/9/2026Wholesale Trade Sales MoM     —     —2.80%     —
6/10/2026MBA Mortgage Applications     —     —-2.50%     —
6/10/2026CPI MoM0.50%     —0.60%     —
6/10/2026Core CPI MoM0.30%     —0.40%     —
6/10/2026CPI YoY4.20%     —3.80%     —
6/10/2026Core CPI YoY2.90%     —2.80%     —
6/10/2026CPI Index NSA335.137     —333.02     —
6/10/2026Core CPI Index SA336.335     —335.42     —
6/10/2026Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY     —     —-0.30%     —
6/10/2026Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY     —     —-0.20%     —
6/10/2026Federal Budget Balance-$275.0b     —$215.0b     —
6/11/2026Initial Jobless Claims219k     —225k     —
6/11/2026Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg     —     —214.75k     —
6/11/2026Continuing Claims1785k     —1777k     —
6/11/2026PPI Final Demand MoM0.70%     —1.40%     —
6/11/2026PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.50%     —1.00%     —
6/11/2026PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM0.40%     —0.60%     —
6/11/2026PPI Final Demand YoY6.40%     —6.00%     —
6/11/2026PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY5.40%     —5.20%     —
6/11/2026PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY4.90%     —4.40%     —
6/11/2026Household Change in Net Worth     —     —$2173b     —
6/12/2026U. of Mich. Sentiment46     —44.8     —
6/12/2026U. of Mich. Current Conditions46     —45.8     —
6/12/2026U. of Mich. Expectations44.7     —44.1     —
6/12/2026U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation4.90%     —4.80%     —
6/12/2026U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation3.90%     —3.90%     —
6/15/2026Empire Manufacturing     —     —19.6     —
6/15/2026Industrial Production MoM0.30%     —0.70%     —
6/15/2026Manufacturing Production MoM     —     —0.60%     —
6/15/2026Capacity Utilization76.10%     —76.10%     —
6/15/2026NAHB Housing Market Index37     —37     —

Kirby Hart

Director, Investment Management Group

LinkedIn

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