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Author Jason Haley

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Global financial markets are on firmer footing today despite no signs of de-escalation in the Middle East.

President Trump suggested over the weekend that the US and Iran are in some level of negotiations to end the conflict, but Iran has denied any such talks. Oil prices are essentially flat, which is helping boost US equity index futures this morning (+0.68%-1.10%). Treasury yields are down 3-5 basis points. This week’s economic calendar is headlined by the Wednesday FOMC meeting. There is no expectation of a rate change by the Fed, and markets will be more focused on the assessment of current conditions and forward guidance, including the updated Summary of Economic Projections.

Jason Haley
Chief Investment Officer

DateEventSurveyActualPrior
3/16/2026Empire Manufacturing3.9-0.27.1
3/16/2026Industrial Production MoM0.10%     —0.70%
3/16/2026Manufacturing (SIC) Production0.10%     —0.60%
3/16/2026Capacity Utilization76.20%     —76.20%
3/16/2026NAHB Housing Market Index37     —36
3/17/2026ADP Weekly Employment Change     —     —15.500k
3/17/2026New York Fed Services Business Activity     —     —-25.7
3/17/2026Pending Home Sales MoM-0.70%     —-0.80%
3/17/2026Pending Home Sales NSA YoY     —     —-1.20%
3/18/2026MBA Mortgage Applications     —     —3.20%
3/18/2026PPI Final Demand MoM0.30%     —0.50%
3/18/2026PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.30%     —0.80%
3/18/2026PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM0.30%     —0.30%
3/18/2026PPI Final Demand YoY3.00%     —2.90%
3/18/2026PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY3.70%     —3.60%
3/18/2026PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY     —     —3.40%
3/18/2026Factory Orders0.10%     —-0.70%
3/18/2026Factory Orders Ex Trans     —     —0.40%
3/18/2026Durable Goods Orders0.00%     —0.00%
3/18/2026Durables Ex Transportation0.40%     —0.40%
3/18/2026Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air     —     —0.00%
3/18/2026Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air     —     —-0.10%
3/18/2026FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound)3.75%     —3.75%
3/18/2026FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound)3.50%     —3.50%
3/18/2026Fed Interest on Reserve Balances Rate     —     —3.65%
3/18/2026Fed Reverse Repo Rate     —     —3.50%
3/18/2026FOMC Median Rate Forecast: Current Yr3.38%     —3.63%
3/18/2026FOMC Median Rate Forecast: Next Yr3.13%     —3.38%
3/18/2026FOMC Median Rate Forecast: +2 Yrs3.13%     —3.13%
3/18/2026FOMC Median Rate Forecast: Long-Run3.13%     —3.00%
3/18/2026Total Net TIC Flows     —     —$44.9b
3/18/2026Net Long-term TIC Flows     —     —$28.0b
3/19/2026Initial Jobless Claims215k     —213k
3/19/2026Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg     —     —212.00k
3/19/2026Continuing Claims1850k     —1850k
3/19/2026Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook10     —16.3
3/19/2026Leading Index-0.10%     —-0.20%
3/19/2026New Home Sales720k     —745k
3/19/2026New Home Sales MoM-2.70%     —-1.70%
3/19/2026Wholesale Inventories MoM0.20%     —0.20%
3/19/2026Wholesale Trade Sales MoM     —     —1.00%
3/19/2026Household Change in Net Worth     —     —$6064b
3/19/2026Building Permits     —     —1376k
3/19/2026Building Permits MoM     —     —-5.40%
3/20/2026Bloomberg March United States Economic Survey   
3/23/2026Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index     —     —0.18
3/23/2026Construction Spending MoM0.10%     —0.30%

Jason Haley

Chief Investment Officer

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