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Author Kirby Hart

Published

Estimated

Treasury yields have sold off this morning in a bear steepening move, with the 10-year now sitting at 4.47%.

This move comes after the President pushed back the deadline to April 6th to find a resolution with Iran. Reports indicate both sides remain far apart. Brent crude continues to climb as well, over $110 per barrel. Stock futures point to a negative open, which would lead to the longest streak of weekly losses since 2022.

Kirby Hart
Director

DateEventSurveyActualPrior
3/27/2026Bloomberg March United States Economic Survey   
3/27/2026U. of Mich. Sentiment54     —55.5
3/27/2026U. of Mich. Current Conditions56.9     —57.8
3/27/2026U. of Mich. Expectations50.9     —54.1
3/27/2026U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation3.60%     —3.40%
3/27/2026U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation3.50%     —3.20%
3/27/2026Kansas City Fed Services Activity4     —6
3/30/2026Dallas Fed Manf. Activity     —     —0.2
3/31/2026FHFA House Price Index MoM0.10%     —0.10%
3/31/2026S&P Cotality CS 20-City MoM SA     —     —0.47%
3/31/2026S&P Cotality CS 20-City YoY NSA     —     —1.38%
3/31/2026S&P Cotality CS US HPI YoY NSA     —     —1.27%
3/31/2026MNI Chicago PMI55.1     —57.7
3/31/2026Conf. Board Consumer Confidence88     —91.2
3/31/2026Conf. Board Present Situation     —     —120
3/31/2026Conf. Board Expectations     —     —72
3/31/2026JOLTS Job Openings6850k     —6946k
3/31/2026JOLTS Job Openings Rate     —     —4.20%
3/31/2026JOLTS Quits Level     —     —3137k
3/31/2026JOLTS Quits Rate     —     —2.00%
3/31/2026JOLTS Layoffs Level     —     —1631k
3/31/2026JOLTS Layoffs Rate     —     —1.00%
3/31/2026Dallas Fed Services Activity     —     —-3.2
4/1/2026MBA Mortgage Applications     —     —-10.50%
4/1/2026ADP Employment Change40k     —63k
4/1/2026Retail Sales Advance MoM0.40%     —-0.20%
4/1/2026Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM0.30%     —0.00%
4/1/2026Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas0.30%     —0.30%
4/1/2026Retail Sales Control Group0.30%     —0.30%
4/1/2026S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI     —     —52.4
4/1/2026ISM Manufacturing52.3     —52.4
4/1/2026ISM Prices Paid     —     —70.5
4/1/2026ISM New Orders     —     —55.8
4/1/2026Business Inventories     —     —0.10%
4/1/2026ISM Employment     —     —48.8
4/01/2026Wards Total Vehicle Sales15.83m     —15.75m
4/2/2026Challenger Job Cuts YoY     —     —-71.90%
4/2/2026Challenger Job Cuts Total     —     —48307
4/2/2026Trade Balance-$59.2b     —-$54.5b
4/2/2026Imports MoM0.10%     —-0.70%
4/2/2026Exports MoM-2.30%     —5.50%
4/2/2026Initial Jobless Claims     —     —210k
4/2/2026Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg     —     —210.50k
4/2/2026Continuing Claims     —     —1819k
4/3/2026Change in Nonfarm Payrolls50k     —-92k
4/3/2026Two-Month Payroll Net Revision     —     —-69k
4/3/2026Change in Private Payrolls55k     —-86k
4/3/2026Change in Manufact. Payrolls     —     —-12k
4/3/2026Nonfarm Payrolls 3-Mo Avg Chg     —     —6k
4/3/2026Average Hourly Earnings MoM0.30%     —0.40%
4/3/2026Average Hourly Earnings YoY3.80%     —3.80%
4/3/2026Average Weekly Hours All Employees34.3     —34.3
4/3/2026Unemployment Rate4.40%     —4.40%
4/3/2026Labor Force Participation Rate62.10%     —62.00%
4/3/2026Underemployment Rate     —     —7.90%
4/3/2026S&P Global US Services PMI     —     —51.1
4/3/2026S&P Global US Composite PMI     —     —51.4

Kirby Hart

Director, Investment Management Group

LinkedIn

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