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Author Hafizan Hamzah

Published

Estimated


The Treasury rally continues with yields 2 to 4 bps lower across the curve while futures on both the S&P and Dow are in the green.

The recent drop in Treasury yields and rise in US equities has been spurred by speculation that President-elect Trump’s tariff plan will be more muted than originally thought.

As a reminder, the market will close early today at 2 PM EST. That being said volumes will likely be light and liquidity low, especially as we get closer to 2 PM.

Hafizan Hamzah
Senior Director, Investment Management Group

DateEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
12/2/2024S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI48.8—48.8—
12/2/2024Construction Spending MoM0.20%—0.10%—
12/2/2024ISM Manufacturing47.6—46.5—
12/2/2024ISM Prices Paid——54.8—
12/2/2024ISM New Orders——47.1—
12/2/2024ISM Employment——44.4—
12/3/2024JOLTS Job Openings7510k—7443k—
12/3/2024Wards Total Vehicle Sales16.00m—16.04m—
12/4/2024MBA Mortgage Applications——6.30%—
12/4/2024ADP Employment Change165k—233k—
12/4/2024S&P Global US Services PMI——57—
12/4/2024S&P Global US Composite PMI——55.3—
12/4/2024Factory Orders0.30%—-0.50%—
12/4/2024Factory Orders Ex Trans——0.10%—
12/4/2024ISM Services Index55.5—56—
12/4/2024ISM Services Prices Paid——58.1—
12/4/2024Durable Goods Orders——0.20%—
12/4/2024ISM Services Employment——53—
12/4/2024Durables Ex Transportation——0.10%—
12/4/2024ISM Services New Orders——57.4—
12/4/2024Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air——-0.20%—
12/4/2024Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air——0.20%—
12/4/2024Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book    
12/5/2024Challenger Job Cuts YoY——50.90%—
12/5/2024Trade Balance-$75.0b—-$84.4b—
12/5/2024Initial Jobless Claims——213k—
12/5/2024Continuing Claims——1907k—
12/6/2024Change in Nonfarm Payrolls200k—12k—
12/6/2024Two-Month Payroll Net Revision——-112k—
12/6/2024Change in Private Payrolls200k—-28k—
12/6/2024Change in Manufact. Payrolls30k—-46k—
12/6/2024Unemployment Rate4.20%—4.10%—
12/6/2024Average Hourly Earnings MoM0.30%—0.40%—
12/6/2024Average Hourly Earnings YoY3.90%—4.00%—
12/6/2024Average Weekly Hours All Employees34.3—34.3—
12/6/2024Labor Force Participation Rate——62.60%—
12/6/2024Underemployment Rate——7.70%—
12/6/2024U. of Mich. Sentiment73—71.8—
12/6/2024U. of Mich. Current Conditions——63.9—
12/6/2024U. of Mich. Expectations——76.9—
12/6/2024U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation——2.60%—
12/6/2024U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation——3.20%—
12/6/2024Consumer Credit$10.000b—$6.002b—

Hafizan Hamzah

Senior Director, Investment Management Group

LinkedIn

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