The Treasury rally continues with yields 2 to 4 bps lower across the curve while futures on both the S&P and Dow are in the green.
The recent drop in Treasury yields and rise in US equities has been spurred by speculation that President-elect Trump’s tariff plan will be more muted than originally thought.
As a reminder, the market will close early today at 2 PM EST. That being said volumes will likely be light and liquidity low, especially as we get closer to 2 PM.
Hafizan Hamzah
Senior Director, Investment Management Group
| Date | Event | Survey | Actual | Prior | Revised |
| 12/2/2024 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI | 48.8 | — | 48.8 | — |
| 12/2/2024 | Construction Spending MoM | 0.20% | — | 0.10% | — |
| 12/2/2024 | ISM Manufacturing | 47.6 | — | 46.5 | — |
| 12/2/2024 | ISM Prices Paid | — | — | 54.8 | — |
| 12/2/2024 | ISM New Orders | — | — | 47.1 | — |
| 12/2/2024 | ISM Employment | — | — | 44.4 | — |
| 12/3/2024 | JOLTS Job Openings | 7510k | — | 7443k | — |
| 12/3/2024 | Wards Total Vehicle Sales | 16.00m | — | 16.04m | — |
| 12/4/2024 | MBA Mortgage Applications | — | — | 6.30% | — |
| 12/4/2024 | ADP Employment Change | 165k | — | 233k | — |
| 12/4/2024 | S&P Global US Services PMI | — | — | 57 | — |
| 12/4/2024 | S&P Global US Composite PMI | — | — | 55.3 | — |
| 12/4/2024 | Factory Orders | 0.30% | — | -0.50% | — |
| 12/4/2024 | Factory Orders Ex Trans | — | — | 0.10% | — |
| 12/4/2024 | ISM Services Index | 55.5 | — | 56 | — |
| 12/4/2024 | ISM Services Prices Paid | — | — | 58.1 | — |
| 12/4/2024 | Durable Goods Orders | — | — | 0.20% | — |
| 12/4/2024 | ISM Services Employment | — | — | 53 | — |
| 12/4/2024 | Durables Ex Transportation | — | — | 0.10% | — |
| 12/4/2024 | ISM Services New Orders | — | — | 57.4 | — |
| 12/4/2024 | Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air | — | — | -0.20% | — |
| 12/4/2024 | Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air | — | — | 0.20% | — |
| 12/4/2024 | Federal Reserve Releases Beige Book | ||||
| 12/5/2024 | Challenger Job Cuts YoY | — | — | 50.90% | — |
| 12/5/2024 | Trade Balance | -$75.0b | — | -$84.4b | — |
| 12/5/2024 | Initial Jobless Claims | — | — | 213k | — |
| 12/5/2024 | Continuing Claims | — | — | 1907k | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Change in Nonfarm Payrolls | 200k | — | 12k | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Two-Month Payroll Net Revision | — | — | -112k | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Change in Private Payrolls | 200k | — | -28k | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Change in Manufact. Payrolls | 30k | — | -46k | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Unemployment Rate | 4.20% | — | 4.10% | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Average Hourly Earnings MoM | 0.30% | — | 0.40% | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Average Hourly Earnings YoY | 3.90% | — | 4.00% | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Average Weekly Hours All Employees | 34.3 | — | 34.3 | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Labor Force Participation Rate | — | — | 62.60% | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Underemployment Rate | — | — | 7.70% | — |
| 12/6/2024 | U. of Mich. Sentiment | 73 | — | 71.8 | — |
| 12/6/2024 | U. of Mich. Current Conditions | — | — | 63.9 | — |
| 12/6/2024 | U. of Mich. Expectations | — | — | 76.9 | — |
| 12/6/2024 | U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation | — | — | 2.60% | — |
| 12/6/2024 | U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation | — | — | 3.20% | — |
| 12/6/2024 | Consumer Credit | $10.000b | — | $6.002b | — |