Yields are close to unchanged following a quiet overnight session due to the market being closed in Japan for a holiday.
Gold continues to be a story as the precious metal keeps rallying and is on pace for its best month since 2020. Gold has rallied through a new high to over $3,780 an ounce on the back of news that China is trying to become a custodian of foreign gold reserves.
There’s a slew of Fed speakers today, headlined by Chair Powell. Investors are hoping for more clarity around the path of rate cuts after Powell made last week’s cut out to be a “risk management” move and that the central bank needed to balance risks of a weakening job market against higher inflation.
Hafizan Hamzah
Senior Director, Investment Management Group
| Date | Event | Surv(M) | Actual | Prior |
| 9/23/2025 | Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Activity | — | -12.3 | -17.5 |
| 9/23/2025 | Current Account Balance | -$256.6b | -$251.3b | -$450.2b |
| 9/23/2025 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI | 52.2 | — | 53 |
| 9/23/2025 | S&P Global US Services PMI | 54 | — | 54.5 |
| 9/23/2025 | S&P Global US Composite PMI | 54 | — | 54.6 |
| 9/23/2025 | Richmond Fed Manufact. Index | -5 | — | -7 |
| 9/23/2025 | Richmond Fed Business Conditions | — | — | 6 |
| 9/24/2025 | MBA Mortgage Applications | — | — | 29.70% |
| 9/24/2025 | New Home Sales | 650k | — | 652k |
| 9/24/2025 | New Home Sales MoM | -0.30% | — | -0.60% |
| 9/24/2025 | Building Permits | — | — | 1312k |
| 9/24/2025 | Building Permits MoM | — | — | -3.70% |
| 9/25/2025 | BEA Releases Annual Update of National Economic Accounts | |||
| 9/25/2025 | Advance Goods Trade Balance | -$95.5b | — | -$103.6b |
| 9/25/2025 | Advance Goods Exports MoM SA | — | — | -0.10% |
| 9/25/2025 | Advance Goods Imports MoM SA | — | — | 7.10% |
| 9/25/2025 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.10% | — | 0.10% |
| 9/25/2025 | Retail Inventories MoM | 0.20% | — | 0.20% |
| 9/25/2025 | GDP Annualized QoQ | 3.30% | — | 3.30% |
| 9/25/2025 | Personal Consumption | 1.70% | — | 1.60% |
| 9/25/2025 | GDP Price Index | 2.00% | — | 2.00% |
| 9/25/2025 | Core PCE Price Index QoQ | 2.50% | — | 2.50% |
| 9/25/2025 | Durable Goods Orders | -0.30% | — | -2.80% |
| 9/25/2025 | Durables Ex Transportation | 0.00% | — | 1.00% |
| 9/25/2025 | Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air | -0.10% | — | 1.10% |
| 9/25/2025 | Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air | 0.30% | — | 0.70% |
| 9/25/2025 | Initial Jobless Claims | 233k | — | 231k |
| 9/25/2025 | Initial Claims 4-Wk Moving Avg | — | — | 240.00k |
| 9/25/2025 | Continuing Claims | 1935k | — | 1920k |
| 9/25/2025 | Existing Home Sales | 3.96m | — | 4.01m |
| 9/25/2025 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -1.40% | — | 2.00% |
| 9/25/2025 | Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity | 2 | — | 1 |
| 9/26/2025 | Personal Income | 0.30% | — | 0.40% |
| 9/26/2025 | Personal Spending | 0.50% | — | 0.50% |
| 9/26/2025 | Real Personal Spending | 0.20% | — | 0.30% |
| 9/26/2025 | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.30% | — | 0.20% |
| 9/26/2025 | PCE Price Index YoY | 2.70% | — | 2.60% |
| 9/26/2025 | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.20% | — | 0.30% |
| 9/26/2025 | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 2.90% | — | 2.90% |
| 9/26/2025 | U. of Mich. Sentiment | 55.4 | — | 55.4 |
| 9/26/2025 | U. of Mich. Current Conditions | — | — | 61.2 |
| 9/26/2025 | U. of Mich. Expectations | — | — | 51.8 |
| 9/26/2025 | U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation | 4.80% | — | 4.80% |
| 9/26/2025 | U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation | 3.90% | — | 3.90% |
| 9/26/2025 | Kansas City Fed Services Activity | — | — | 4 |
| 9/26/2025 | Bloomberg Sept. United States Economic Survey |