September 9, 2019 Headlines

A relatively quiet news cycle over the weekend is boosting risk assets to open the week. S&P 500 futures are up 10 points, and Treasury yields are up 1-4 bps across the curve. On trade, Politico reported late Friday that Chinese officials submitted a “mini deal” where China would increase purchases of U.S. agricultural goods in exchange for delaying the 10/1 tariffs and easing restrictions on Huawei. The article also suggested that President Trump is considering delaying the 12/15 tariffs depending on how upcoming negotiations proceed.

This week’s calendar is headlined by Thursday’s ECB meeting, which is expected to result in a new asset purchase program to combat weaker growth and inflation data. The August CPI report will also be released on Thursday, and August retail sales data will be released on Friday. The September 18 FOMC meeting also looms on the near-term calendar.

Jason Haley
Managing Director, Investment Management Group

DateEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
9/9/2019Consumer Credit$16.000b$14.596b
9/10/2019NFIB Small Business Optimism103.5104.7
9/10/2019JOLTS Job Openings73317348
9/11/2019MBA Mortgage Applications-3.10%
9/11/2019PPI Final Demand MoM0.00%0.20%
9/11/2019PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.20%-0.10%
9/11/2019PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM0.20%-0.10%
9/11/2019PPI Final Demand YoY1.70%1.70%
9/11/2019PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY2.10%2.10%
9/11/2019PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY1.70%
9/11/2019Wholesale Trade Sales MoM0.50%-0.30%
9/11/2019Wholesale Inventories MoM0.20%0.20%
9/12/2019Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY0.80%0.90%
9/12/2019Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY1.30%1.40%
9/12/2019CPI MoM0.10%0.30%
9/12/2019CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.20%0.30%
9/12/2019CPI YoY1.80%1.80%
9/12/2019CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY2.30%2.20%
9/12/2019CPI Core Index SA264.1263.569
9/12/2019CPI Index NSA256.577256.571
9/12/2019Initial Jobless Claims215k217k
9/12/2019Continuing Claims1675k1662k
9/12/2019Bloomberg Consumer Comfort63.4
9/12/2019Monthly Budget Statement-$190.0b-$119.7b
9/13/2019Import Price Index MoM-0.50%0.20%
9/13/2019Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM-0.10%0.00%
9/13/2019Import Price Index YoY-2.00%-1.80%
9/13/2019Export Price Index MoM-0.30%0.20%
9/13/2019Export Price Index YoY-0.90%
9/13/2019Retail Sales Advance MoM0.20%0.70%
9/13/2019Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM0.10%1.00%
9/13/2019Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas0.20%0.90%
9/13/2019Retail Sales Control Group0.30%1.00%
9/13/2019Bloomberg Sept. United States Economic Survey
9/13/2019U. of Mich. Sentiment90.789.8
9/13/2019U. of Mich. Current Conditions107.8105.3
9/13/2019U. of Mich. Expectations85.279.9
9/13/2019U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation2.70%
9/13/2019U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation2.60%
9/13/2019Business Inventories0.30%0.00%

 

Subscribe Today!

Subscribe to our email list and get the latest articles and announcements from ALM First.

Recent Articles

ALM First offers investment advisory services through ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC, which is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). SEC registration does not constitute an endorsement of the firm by the SEC nor does it indicate that the firm has attained a particular level of skill or ability. The information contained herein does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation for you to purchase or sell any specific security. You are solely responsible for reviewing the content and for any actions you take or choose not to take based on your review of such content.Information contained herein was derived from third party sources as indicated. While such information is believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty is made concerning the accuracy of any information presented. We have not and will not independently verify this information. Where such sources include opinions and projections, such opinions and projections should be ascribed only to the applicable third party source and not to ALM First.Statements herein that reflect projections or expectations of future financial or economic performance are forward-looking statements. Such “forward-looking” statements are based on various assumptions, which assumptions may not prove to be correct. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that such assumptions and statements will accurately predict future events or actual performance. No representation or warranty can be given that the estimates, opinions or assumptions made herein will prove to be accurate. Any projections and forward-looking statements included herein should be considered speculative and are qualified in their entirety by the information and risks disclosed in the confidential offering document. Actual results for any period may or may not approximate such forward-looking statements. No representations or warranties whatsoever are made by ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC or any other person or entity as to the future profitability of investments recommended by ALM First Financial Advisors, LLC.