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Author Hafizan Hamzah

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Estimated


Treasury yields are 1 to 2 bps higher this morning, while futures on the Dow and S&P are pointing to a higher open, up 0.53% and 0.58%, respectively.

The economic calendar is light today but picks up later this week with the second reading of Q4 GDP (2.3% annualized paced expected) on Thursday and PCE inflation data on Friday.

Hafizan Hamzah
Senior Director, Investment Management Group

DateEventSurv(M)ActualPrior
02/24/25Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index-0.05-0.030.15
02/24/25Dallas Fed Manf. Activity6.4—14.1
02/25/25Philadelphia Fed Non-Manufacturing Activity——-9.1
02/25/25FHFA House Price Index MoM——0.30%
02/25/25House Price Purchase Index QoQ0.30%—0.70%
02/25/25S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City MoM SA0.40%—0.41%
02/25/25S&P CoreLogic CS 20-City YoY NSA4.45%—4.33%
02/25/25S&P CoreLogic CS US HPI YoY NSA——3.75%
02/25/25Conf. Board Consumer Confidence102.7—104.1
02/25/25Conf. Board Present Situation——134.3
02/25/25Conf. Board Expectations——83.9
02/25/25Richmond Fed Manufact. Index-3—-4
02/25/25Richmond Fed Business Conditions——7
02/25/25Dallas Fed Services Activity——7.4
02/26/25MBA Mortgage Applications——-6.60%
02/26/25New Home Sales675k—698k
02/26/25New Home Sales MoM-3.30%—3.60%
02/26/25Building Permits——1483k
02/26/25Building Permits MoM——0.10%
02/27/25GDP Annualized QoQ2.30%—2.30%
02/27/25Personal Consumption4.10%—4.20%
02/27/25GDP Price Index2.20%—2.20%
02/27/25Core PCE Price Index QoQ2.50%—2.50%
02/27/25Durable Goods Orders2.00%—-2.20%
02/27/25Durables Ex Transportation0.20%—0.30%
02/27/25Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air0.30%—0.40%
02/27/25Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air0.30%—0.50%
02/27/25Initial Jobless Claims221k—219k
02/27/25Continuing Claims1872k—1869k
02/27/25Pending Home Sales MoM-0.80%—-5.50%
02/27/25Pending Home Sales NSA YoY——-2.90%
02/27/25Kansas City Fed Manf. Activity——-5
02/28/25Advance Goods Trade Balance-$115.0b—-$122.1b
02/28/25Retail Inventories MoM0.20%—-0.30%
02/28/25Personal Income0.40%—0.40%
02/28/25Personal Spending0.20%—0.70%
02/28/25Real Personal Spending-0.10%—0.40%
02/28/25Wholesale Inventories MoM0.10%—-0.50%
02/28/25PCE Price Index MoM0.30%—0.30%
02/28/25PCE Price Index YoY2.50%—2.60%
02/28/25Core PCE Price Index MoM0.30%—0.20%
02/28/25Core PCE Price Index YoY2.60%—2.80%
02/28/25MNI Chicago PMI40.3—39.5
02/28/25Kansas City Fed Services Activity——-4

Hafizan Hamzah

Senior Director, Investment Management Group

LinkedIn

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