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Author Jason Haley

Published

Estimated

Treasuries are recovering this morning after a week-long selloff. 

Yields are up 3-5 basis points so far with no clear catalysts for the rally other than likely dip-buying. The rest of the day should be relatively quiet on the economic front. There are no major data releases today, and no Fed leaders are scheduled to speak either. In addition to the March CPI report tomorrow, the minutes of the March 20 FOMC meeting will be released, and three Fed leaders are scheduled to speak.

Jason Haley
Chief Investment Officer

DateEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
4/9/2024NFIB Small Business Optimism89.988.589.4—
4/10/2024MBA Mortgage Applications——-0.60%—
4/10/2024CPI MoM0.30%—0.40%—
4/10/2024CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.30%—0.40%—
4/10/2024CPI YoY3.40%—3.20%—
4/10/2024CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY3.70%—3.80%—
4/10/2024CPI Index NSA312.073—310.326—
4/10/2024CPI Core Index SA316.509—315.565—
4/10/2024Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY——1.10%—
4/10/2024Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY——0.50%—
4/10/2024Wholesale Trade Sales MoM0.80%—-1.70%—
4/10/2024Wholesale Inventories MoM0.50%—0.50%—
4/10/2024FOMC Meeting Minutes————
4/10/2024Monthly Budget Statement-$195.0b—-$378.1b—
4/11/2024PPI Final Demand MoM0.30%—0.60%—
4/11/2024PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.20%—0.30%—
4/11/2024PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM0.20%—0.40%—
4/11/2024PPI Final Demand YoY2.20%—1.60%—
4/11/2024PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY2.30%—2.00%—
4/11/2024PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY——2.80%—
4/11/2024Initial Jobless Claims215k—221k—
4/11/2024Continuing Claims1800k—1791k—
4/12/2024Import Price Index MoM0.30%—0.30%—
4/12/2024Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM0.10%—0.20%—
4/12/2024Import Price Index YoY0.30%—-0.80%—
4/12/2024Export Price Index MoM0.30%—0.80%—
4/12/2024Export Price Index YoY——-1.80%—
4/12/2024U. of Mich. Sentiment79—79.4—
4/12/2024U. of Mich. Current Conditions81.5—82.5—
4/12/2024U. of Mich. Expectations78—77.4—
4/12/2024U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation2.90%—2.90%—
4/12/2024U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation2.90%—2.80%—
4/15/2024Empire Manufacturing-7—-20.9—
4/15/2024Retail Sales Advance MoM0.40%—0.60%—
4/15/2024Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM0.50%—0.30%—
4/15/2024Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas0.40%—0.30%—
4/15/2024Retail Sales Control Group0.20%—0.00%—
4/15/2024Business Inventories0.40%—0.00%—
4/15/2024NAHB Housing Market Index——51—
4/16/2024Building Permits MoM-0.90%—1.90%2.40%
4/16/2024Building Permits1510k—1518k1524k
4/16/2024Housing Starts1480k—1521k—
4/16/2024Housing Starts MoM-2.70%—10.70%—
4/16/2024New York Fed Services Business Activity——0.6—
4/16/2024Industrial Production MoM0.40%—0.10%—
4/16/2024Capacity Utilization78.50%—78.30%—
4/16/2024Manufacturing (SIC) Production——0.80%—

Jason Haley

Chief Investment Officer

LinkedIn

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