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Author Jason Haley

Published

Estimated


Treasury yields are slightly higher as the market preps for fresh supply ($58 billion 3yr note auction). 

Markets are also awaiting testimony from Jerome Powell before the Senate Banking Committee this morning, beginning at 10am ET. Investors will be looking for any hints from Powell related to the timing of eventual rate cuts, and he is likely to be pushed by some Senators for comments related to the current fiscal deficit and forward concerns, which he typically tries to avoid.

Jason Haley
Chief Investment Officer

DateEventSurveyActualPriorRevised
7/9/2024NFIB Small Business Optimism90.291.590.5—
7/10/2024MBA Mortgage Applications——-2.60%—
7/10/2024Wholesale Trade Sales MoM0.30%—0.10%—
7/10/2024Wholesale Inventories MoM0.60%—0.60%—
7/11/2024Real Avg Hourly Earning YoY——0.80%0.70%
7/11/2024CPI MoM0.10%—0.00%—
7/11/2024CPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.20%—0.20%—
7/11/2024CPI YoY3.10%—3.30%—
7/11/2024CPI Ex Food and Energy YoY3.40%—3.40%—
7/11/2024CPI Index NSA314.581—314.069—
7/11/2024CPI Core Index SA318.841—318.14—
7/11/2024Real Avg Weekly Earnings YoY——0.50%—
7/11/2024Initial Jobless Claims235k—238k—
7/11/2024Continuing Claims1864k—1858k—
7/11/2024Monthly Budget Statement-$77.0b—-$347.1b—
7/12/2024PPI Final Demand MoM0.10%—-0.20%—
7/12/2024PPI Ex Food and Energy MoM0.20%—0.00%—
7/12/2024PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade MoM0.20%—0.00%—
7/12/2024PPI Final Demand YoY2.30%—2.20%—
7/12/2024PPI Ex Food and Energy YoY2.50%—2.30%—
7/12/2024PPI Ex Food, Energy, Trade YoY——3.20%—
7/12/2024U. of Mich. Sentiment68.5—68.2—
7/12/2024U. of Mich. Current Conditions——65.9—
7/12/2024U. of Mich. Expectations——69.6—
7/12/2024U. of Mich. 1 Yr Inflation3.00%—3.00%—
7/12/2024U. of Mich. 5-10 Yr Inflation3.00%—3.00%—
7/15/2024Empire Manufacturing——-6—
7/16/2024New York Fed Services Business Activity——-4.7—
7/16/2024Retail Sales Advance MoM-0.20%—0.10%—
7/16/2024Retail Sales Ex Auto MoM0.10%—-0.10%—
7/16/2024Retail Sales Ex Auto and Gas——0.10%—
7/16/2024Retail Sales Control Group0.20%—0.40%—
7/16/2024Import Price Index MoM——-0.40%—
7/16/2024Import Price Index ex Petroleum MoM——-0.30%—
7/16/2024Import Price Index YoY——1.10%—
7/16/2024Export Price Index MoM——-0.60%—
7/16/2024Export Price Index YoY——0.60%—
7/16/2024Business Inventories——0.30%—
7/16/2024NAHB Housing Market Index43—43—

Jason Haley

Chief Investment Officer

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